Politics · Middle EastOilHormuz Traffic Returns to Normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Live
Yes
7.5 % chance
No
92.5 % chance
$41.2K
25
Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 09:19 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 7.5 %chance
- Yes 7.5¢ · No 92.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
14.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.0¢
Yes price now
6.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
41
Smart money
19
Top holders
- Th…MANo61,013
- Jf…skNo22,500
- Do…toNo20,000
- Pr…ieNo19,492
- Re…ekYes42,649
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