Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Live
Yes
1.6 % chance
No
98.4 % chance
$5.2K
22
Trading opened Dec 16, 2025 17:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.6 %chance
- Yes 1.6¢ · No 98.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
17.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.5¢
Yes price now
15.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
122
Smart money
20
Top holders
- Li…onNo5,353
- Ar…lyNo2,261
- Ma…naYes7,616
- Si…eeNo2,064
- ba…arNo1,088
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