WeatherTyphoon
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$36.08
6
Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 18:47 UTC · Scheduled close Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- Yes0.5¢
- No99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
5.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
5
Top holders
- Ju…reNo126.7
- Lo…tsYes243
- pl…erNo79.5
- a…zYes486.4
- My…iaNo75.4
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