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Politicsdemocrats

Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?

Trading opened Feb 19, 2026 00:27 UTC · Scheduled close Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory → all 14 questions

Where holders bought vs market

4%
Holder avg entry (skill-weighted)
1%
Market mid
3 pts
Holders paid above the current mid
24h volume
$251.08
24h fills
15
Positioners
9
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • an…29NO393.6
  • wi…34YES1,843
  • Ad…stNO248.2
  • Si…eeNO250
  • AnonymousYES341.6

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Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank