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Weather · TokyoTokyo Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 11?

Live · started 15:00 UTC

Yes
0.2 % chance
No
99.8 % chance
$481.60
22

Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 04:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 11, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 11? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.2 %chance
  • Yes 0.2¢ · No 99.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.2¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
44
Smart money
20

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo81.9
  • Ex…anNo72.1
  • ha…ayNo50
  • do…meNo48.9
  • Lu…ysNo41.7

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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 11? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank