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Weather · Hong KongHong Kong Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?

Live · started Oct 11 16:00 UTC

Yes
21.5 % chance
No
78.5 % chance
$2.2K
88

Trading opened Oct 10, 2026 04:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 12? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 21.5 %chance
  • Yes 21.5¢ · No 78.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

37.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
21.5¢
Yes price now
16.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
175
Smart money
60

Top holders

  • ti…ayNo401.2
  • si…33No342.4
  • Po…chNo235.2
  • me…ngNo220
  • Yu…33No204.1

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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank