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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?

Live

Yes
29.0 % chance
No
71.0 % chance
$863.76
24

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 29.0 %chance
  • Yes 29.0¢ · No 71.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

24.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
29.0¢
Yes price now
4.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
28
Smart money
18

Top holders

  • Ha…thNo300
  • be…inYes500
  • A…VNo224
  • re…26No208.3
  • Dr…NLNo200

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank