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World · Global elections

Question

Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?

Live

Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$524.93
20

Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 21:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 20, 2026 03:59 UTC

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.1 %chance
  • Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
0.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
34
Smart money
16

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo264.2
  • Bi…ggNo235.3
  • do…meNo200.5
  • ci…esNo162.9
  • AnonymousYes961.5

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Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank