Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more?
Live
Yes
1.5 % chance
No
98.5 % chance
$834.69
21
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:25 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.5 %chance
- Yes 1.5¢ · No 98.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
9.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.5¢
Yes price now
7.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
42
Smart money
18
Top holders
- bo…nkNo289.5
- Ju…reNo200
- ba…arNo180
- ha…ayNo115
- e…3No112.6
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