Politics · Trump
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Live
Yes
98.0 % chance
No
2.0 % chance
$817.04
11
Trading opened Jan 15, 2026 19:15 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 98.0 %chance
- Yes 98.0¢ · No 2.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
90.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
98.0¢
Yes price now
7.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
5
Top holders
- qm…a2Yes139,046
- D…KYes21,947
- Ho…ceNo51,702
- si…anYes7,903
- Se…onYes7,573
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