Weather · Earthquakes
Question
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3?
Live
Yes
8.1 % chance
No
91.9 % chance
$233.88
8
Trading opened Aug 18, 2026 14:53 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 7, 2027 16:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 8.1 %chance
- Yes 8.1¢ · No 91.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.1¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
6
Top holders
- Op…ntNo400
- Ha…thNo184.6
- Ki…ngYes339.2
- Vi…axNo80
- My…iaNo81.6
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