Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?
Live
Yes
25.0 % chance
No
75.0 % chance
$1.5K
26
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 25.0 %chance
- Yes 25.0¢ · No 75.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
24.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
25.0¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
35
Smart money
23
Top holders
- be…inYes6,727
- do…meNo2,297
- No…anNo2,000
- Pr…ieNo900.2
- Ga…deYes1,553
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