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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?

Live

Yes
61.0 % chance
No
39.0 % chance
$2.7K
24

Trading opened Dec 16, 2025 17:18 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

MI-04 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 61.0 %chance
  • Yes 61.0¢ · No 39.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

52.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
61.0¢
Yes price now
9.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
43
Smart money
19

Top holders

  • an…noYes2,473
  • tu…erYes594.5
  • G.…enYes500
  • Ha…thNo493.8
  • ma…ksNo438.8

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Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank