Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?
Live
Yes
61.0 % chance
No
39.0 % chance
$2.7K
24
Trading opened Dec 16, 2025 17:18 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 61.0 %chance
- Yes 61.0¢ · No 39.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
52.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
61.0¢
Yes price now
9.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
43
Smart money
19
Top holders
- an…noYes2,473
- tu…erYes594.5
- G.…enYes500
- Ha…thNo493.8
- ma…ksNo438.8
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