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Weather · ShenzhenShenzhen Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?

Live · started 16:00 UTC

Yes
30.5 % chance
No
69.5 % chance
$1.8K
73

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 04:58 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 30.5 %chance
  • Yes 30.5¢ · No 69.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

20.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
30.5¢
Yes price now
9.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
125
Smart money
54

Top holders

  • h…vNo483.1
  • Sn…-sNo436.7
  • AnonymousNo385.5
  • Am…v2No294.2
  • Wr…eeYes464.6

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Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank