Politics · Global electionsUK
Question
Will the Green candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?
Live
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$21.01
5
Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
4
Top holders
- Ad…stNo80
- Lu…ysNo51.8
- Vi…axNo50
- gm…mgNo20
- C…MNo20
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