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Weather · TokyoTokyo Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 15?

Live · started Oct 14 15:00 UTC

Yes
29.3 % chance
No
70.7 % chance
$803.68
23

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 04:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 29.3 %chance
  • Yes 29.3¢ · No 70.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

34.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
29.3¢
Yes price now
5.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
40
Smart money
16

Top holders

  • su…ppYes196.9
  • My…skNo42.7
  • Vi…axNo40
  • 0x…hnYes100
  • Cl…iaNo37.3

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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank