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Weather · Hong KongHong Kong Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?

Live · started Oct 11 16:00 UTC

Yes
72.5 % chance
No
27.5 % chance
$3.2K
105

Trading opened Oct 10, 2026 04:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 12? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 72.5 %chance
  • Yes 72.5¢ · No 27.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

45.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
74.5¢
Yes price now
29.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
211
Smart money
61

Top holders

  • tr…e1No325.8
  • Bl…reYes300
  • Fa…bbYes214
  • al…daNo225
  • La…onYes165.5

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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank