Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?
Live
Yes
83.5 % chance
No
16.5 % chance
$475.17
16
Trading opened Dec 16, 2025 18:15 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 83.5 %chance
- Yes 83.5¢ · No 16.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
71.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
83.5¢
Yes price now
12.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
13
Top holders
- be…inYes765
- mr…deYes578
- if…meYes547.9
- an…23No343.8
- Sm…lyNo355
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