Tech · AI
Question
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?
Live
Yes
86.5 % chance
No
13.5 % chance
$437.98
23
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:11 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 86.5 %chance
- Yes 86.5¢ · No 13.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
72.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
86.5¢
Yes price now
14.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
17
Top holders
- Mr…🐸No281
- mi…leYes187.7
- iu…alYes160
- No…erYes116.9
- Su…HRYes50
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