Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Live · starts Nov 3 17:00 UTC
Yes
8.1 % chance
No
91.9 % chance
$1.1K
30
Trading opened Jun 25, 2026 17:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 8.1 %chance
- Yes 8.1¢ · No 91.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
9.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.1¢
Yes price now
1.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
43
Smart money
26
Top holders
- co…ceNo575.3
- R…eYes1,838
- Lu…ysNo499.4
- Ra…ODYes1,443
- T…aNo406.2
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