Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
3.0 % chance
No
97.0 % chance
$5.0K
19
Trading opened May 16, 2026 01:26 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 31, 2026 21:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.0 %chance
- Yes 3.0¢ · No 97.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
11.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.0¢
Yes price now
8.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
25
Smart money
14
Top holders
- ho…stNo45,592
- no…90No30,054
- ga…13Yes114,507
- Te…toNo20,853
- Mo…erNo16,341
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