Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC
Question
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$7.9K
55
Trading opened Jun 17, 2026 23:33 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 29, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
0.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
63
Smart money
22
Top holders
- fo…erNo237,940
- cl…edNo101,162
- p…oNo77,739
- do…meNo72,332
- QM…RENo71,769
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