Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election by 0%-5%?
Live
Yes
50.5 % chance
No
49.5 % chance
$20.0K
2
Trading opened Sep 2, 2026 19:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 12:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 50.5 %chance
- Yes 50.5¢ · No 49.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
96.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
50.5¢
Yes price now
46.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
1
Top holders
- su…rdYes20,178
- Ra…olNo20,000
- xt…meNo72
- 44…enNo61.7
- sm…ptNo45
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