Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?

Live

Yes

98.2 % chance

1.8 % chance

$586.13

Trading opened Sep 29, 2026 20:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut? → all 4 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

98.2 %chance
Yes 98.2¢ · No 1.8¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

88.5¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

98.2¢

Yes price now

9.6¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

Ki…alYes930.6
fi…98Yes300.5
yo…erNo616
fo…ntYes97.6
AnonymousYes59.9

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