World · Global elections
Question
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
16.0 % chance
No
84.0 % chance
$3.7K
38
Trading opened Oct 27, 2026 14:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 16.0 %chance
- Yes 16.0¢ · No 84.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
49.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
16.0¢
Yes price now
33.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
76
Smart money
24
Top holders
- pa…aaNo1,718
- sa…xzNo810.5
- Zh…CDYes1,000
- E…eNo473
- li…erYes592.1
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