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Weather · TokyoTokyo Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?

Live · started 15:00 UTC

Yes
30.5 % chance
No
69.5 % chance
$818.16
62

Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 04:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 14? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 30.5 %chance
  • Yes 30.5¢ · No 69.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

11.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
30.5¢
Yes price now
18.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
83
Smart money
40

Top holders

  • ar…owYes949.9
  • AnonymousNo322.1
  • h…vNo288.2
  • fi…roNo306.4
  • he…67No227.6

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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank