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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 16?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
1.6 % chance
No
98.4 % chance
$565.81
19

Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 16? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.6 %chance
  • Yes 1.6¢ · No 98.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.3¢
Yes price now
5.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
29
Smart money
18

Top holders

  • Su…rmNo395
  • 24…32No235
  • lo…13No175.8
  • ma…uuYes427
  • 0x…BBNo60.5

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 16? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank