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Politics · US electionsTrump

Question

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live

Yes
3.6 % chance
No
96.4 % chance
$307.37
15

Trading opened Oct 23, 2026 15:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 17:00 UTC

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets) → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.6 %chance
  • Yes 3.6¢ · No 96.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.6¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
13

Top holders

  • sc…oiNo304.2
  • Vi…axNo210.8
  • To…yyNo193.4
  • mi…27No162.1
  • xt…meYes439.8

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Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank