Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$1.4K
22
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:11 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
1.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
51
Smart money
19
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo359.6
- e…3No297.9
- gm…mgNo234.8
- ba…arNo216
- do…meNo154.6
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…