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World · Global elections

Question

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?

Live

Yes
57.5 % chance
No
42.5 % chance
$457.79
18

Trading opened Sep 23, 2026 20:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 25, 2026 23:59 UTC

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 57.5 %chance
  • Yes 57.5¢ · No 42.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

51.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
57.0¢
Yes price now
5.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
26
Smart money
17

Top holders

  • ev…erYes1,180
  • no…50Yes378.2
  • do…meNo308.7
  • ba…arNo219.1
  • A…VNo167

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Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank