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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?

Live

Yes
7.5 % chance
No
92.5 % chance
$1.0K
15

Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 19:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 7.5 %chance
  • Yes 7.5¢ · No 92.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.0¢
Yes price now
4.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
25
Smart money
11

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo380.6
  • Vi…axNo244
  • Ad…stNo153
  • vi…20Yes542.2
  • Gi…ngNo119.5

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank