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Finance · Central banks & ratesECB Interest Rates

Question

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?

Open, no trades in the last 24 h

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$0.00
0

Trading opened Jul 24, 2026 16:02 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 30, 2026 03:59 UTC

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026 → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
3.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
0
Smart money
0

Top holders

  • do…meNo1,160
  • ko…ipYes19,300
  • gm…mgNo422.2
  • My…iaNo390.1
  • Ad…stNo377

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Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank