Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 9%-12%?
Live
Yes
1.4 % chance
No
98.6 % chance
$1.1K
21
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.4 %chance
- Yes 1.4¢ · No 98.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
19.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.4¢
Yes price now
18.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
30
Smart money
18
Top holders
- XA…elNo341.2
- sh…ooYes782
- xt…meYes455.9
- Ra…ckNo158.4
- Pr…ieNo158
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