Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 12, 2026?

Live

Yes

17.9 % chance

82.1 % chance

$193.23

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 13, 2026 03:59 UTC

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

17.9 %chance
Yes 17.9¢ · No 82.1¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

6.9¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

17.9¢

Yes price now

11.0¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

mi…ktNo64.5
sm…ptNo40
no…erNo40
2…SYes170
e…3No32.8

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