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Finance · Central banks & ratesBank of Canada decision

Question

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?

Live

Yes
0.7 % chance
No
99.3 % chance
$1.6K
21

Trading opened Sep 8, 2026 23:47 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 9, 2026 00:00 UTC

Bank of Canada Decision in December? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.7 %chance
  • Yes 0.7¢ · No 99.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.7¢
Yes price now
0.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
38
Smart money
17

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo508
  • ba…arNo410.5
  • do…meNo281.1
  • Vi…axNo250
  • pl…erNo238

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Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank