Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?
Live
Yes
0.7 % chance
No
99.3 % chance
$322.22
5
Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 21:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 19, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.7 %chance
- Yes 0.7¢ · No 99.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.7¢
Yes price now
3.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
4
Top holders
- ra…woYes1,076
- Pa…atNo250
- e…3No142.6
- ba…arNo141.6
- sa…99No120
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