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Weather · Hong KongHong Kong Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 16?

Live · starts 16:00 UTC

Yes
8.5 % chance
No
91.5 % chance
$660.82
31

Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 04:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 8.5 %chance
  • Yes 8.5¢ · No 91.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

23.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.5¢
Yes price now
15.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
41
Smart money
22

Top holders

  • ov…ngNo131.4
  • lu…onNo121.2
  • ar…owYes217
  • fr…stNo85.8
  • me…erNo40.8

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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 16? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank