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Politics · Middle EastGeopolitics

Question

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Live

Yes
6.5 % chance
No
93.5 % chance
$6.0K
27

Trading opened Mar 27, 2026 00:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 6.5 %chance
  • Yes 6.5¢ · No 93.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

33.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.5¢
Yes price now
27.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
34
Smart money
14

Top holders

  • ED…99No42,649
  • an…23Yes29,399
  • Ni…koYes18,145
  • Sk…ngNo16,131
  • Th…MANo13,277

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Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank