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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on October 11?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$680.11
35

Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 11, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 11? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.3 %chance
  • Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
65
Smart money
28

Top holders

  • ma…91No232.2
  • Lu…ysNo163
  • ha…ayNo120
  • pu…anNo114
  • Gl…goNo100.1

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on October 11? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank