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Finance · EquitiesSPY Daily Close U/O

Question

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 5?

Live · started Oct 4 21:00 UTC

Yes
98.7 % chance
No
1.3 % chance
$49.30
4

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 12:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 5, 2026 20:00 UTC

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 5? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 98.7 %chance
  • Yes 98.7¢ · No 1.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

75.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
98.7¢
Yes price now
23.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
3
Smart money
3

Top holders

  • gr…69Yes47.1
  • Mr…aoNo32
  • Lu…omYes20
  • Mr…aoYes18
  • AnonymousNo11

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 5? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank