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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 6?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
30.5 % chance
No
69.5 % chance
$1.3K
75

Trading opened Oct 4, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 6, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 6? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 30.5 %chance
  • Yes 30.5¢ · No 69.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

21.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
32.5¢
Yes price now
11.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
138
Smart money
55

Top holders

  • cl…dyNo247.3
  • Vi…erYes470
  • ba…arNo120
  • t3…y7No117.4
  • Bi…ryYes220.9

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 6? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank