Politics · Ukraine & Russia
Question
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
53.5 % chance
No
46.5 % chance
$100.60
7
Trading opened Sep 7, 2026 15:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Aug 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? → all 18 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 53.5 %chance
- Yes 53.5¢ · No 46.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
54.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
53.5¢
Yes price now
0.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
4
Top holders
- T…2Yes619.5
- un…08No479.5
- Ge…d6No184.4
- A…VYes166
- Y…sNo132.5
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