Politics · Middle EastOil
Question
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?
Live
Yes
6.5 % chance
No
93.5 % chance
$706.11
9
Trading opened Oct 7, 2026 08:38 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 6.5 %chance
- Yes 6.5¢ · No 93.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
13.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.5¢
Yes price now
6.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
6
Top holders
- en…esNo2,968
- Ev…nsNo2,542
- Re…ekYes5,720
- Ha…erNo1,077
- Sk…ssNo500
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