World · US electionsGaza
Question
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$3.2K
10
Trading opened Nov 2, 2026 00:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
3.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
9
Top holders
- Me…leNo2,268
- Lu…ysNo210
- au…mmYes1,481
- mu…erNo120
- gm…mgNo79
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