World · Global elections
Question
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
Live
Yes
26.5 % chance
No
73.5 % chance
$834.21
15
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 26.5 %chance
- Yes 26.5¢ · No 73.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
27.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
26.0¢
Yes price now
1.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
12
Top holders
- ba…arNo583.1
- Or…rnYes783
- Pr…beYes357.1
- Lo…tsNo180
- th…inYes220
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