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Politics · Middle EastIran

Question

Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?

Live

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$3.8K
31

Trading opened Oct 8, 2026 22:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 03:59 UTC

Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...? → all 2 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

6.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
6.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
62
Smart money
22

Top holders

  • ED…99No2,874
  • Re…onNo240.1
  • fl…teNo235.1
  • ga…t2Yes1,028
  • Fe…htYes769.2

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Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank