Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Live · starts Nov 3 17:00 UTC
Yes
27.6 % chance
No
72.4 % chance
$1.1K
32
Trading opened Jun 25, 2026 17:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 27.6 %chance
- Yes 27.6¢ · No 72.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
26.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
27.6¢
Yes price now
1.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
45
Smart money
29
Top holders
- jo…22Yes1,356
- In…erYes1,152
- co…ceNo575.3
- so…10Yes838.7
- Sm…lyNo500
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