Politics · US electionsOil
Question
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live
Yes
8.8 % chance
No
91.2 % chance
$13.6K
36
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 8.8 %chance
- Yes 8.8¢ · No 91.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
8.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.8¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
44
Smart money
34
Top holders
- li…erNo5,572
- ti…erNo5,200
- Lo…isYes13,825
- Ti…obNo2,500
- Ha…thNo500
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