Politics · US electionsIran
Question
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?
Live
Yes
7.8 % chance
No
92.2 % chance
$2.3K
33
Trading opened Nov 2, 2026 01:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 7.8 %chance
- Yes 7.8¢ · No 92.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
22.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.8¢
Yes price now
14.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
81
Smart money
26
Top holders
- Bi…ggNo445
- Lu…ysNo439.1
- Ch…edYes907.9
- gm…mgNo365.2
- se…77Yes537
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