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Finance · Central banks & ratesBank of Brazil decision

Question

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?

Live

Yes
13.4 % chance
No
86.6 % chance
$3.6K
51

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 22:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 11:59 UTC

Bank of Brazil decision in November? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 13.4 %chance
  • Yes 13.4¢ · No 86.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

44.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
13.3¢
Yes price now
31.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
114
Smart money
39

Top holders

  • S4…onYes1,622
  • an…10Yes1,370
  • qu…ppYes1,060
  • xt…meNo1,156
  • Bi…ggNo873.4

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Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank